5 Changes I Made to My Portfolio (Mid Year Review 2024) | Top 5 Changes I Made to My Portfolio

BuildingBread
4 Jul 202409:59

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker discusses strategic stock transactions in their portfolio, focusing on buying more of NRG due to its significant growth and high billionaire interest in energy stocks. They sold Caterpillar, replacing it with KKR for diversification, and swapped Ulta for Deck due to Ulta's underperformance and Deck's promising outlook. The speaker also shares lessons learned from value investing and the importance of following personal investment processes. Other stocks like Marriott and Palo Alto Networks were sold to consolidate the portfolio and reallocate funds to better-performing stocks, emphasizing the need for portfolio management and strategic decision-making.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The speaker has made changes to their stock portfolio, buying and selling stocks based on market performance and personal strategy.
  • 🛒 They purchased more shares of NRG, a stock that has seen significant growth over the past 6 months and year, with interest in doing more covered calls with the company.
  • 🚜 Sold Caterpillar, which had good performance but was replaced with KKR, an asset manager, as part of a diversification strategy and due to long-standing interest in KKR.
  • 👟 Bought Deckers Outdoors, known as Deck, replacing Ulta which did not perform well, reflecting a shift from a value investment that didn't pan out to a growing company.
  • 💄 Expressed dissatisfaction with Ulta's performance, citing personal errors in selling timing and acknowledging a struggle with value investing strategies.
  • 🔄 TransDigm (TDG) was acquired, replacing Marriott, as part of an effort to maximize gains and maintain a manageable portfolio size.
  • 🏨 Sold Palo Alto Networks, taking profits due to perceived slowing growth, aiming to reallocate funds to other areas of the portfolio.
  • 👧 Made changes in the speaker's daughter's portfolio, swapping Lululemon for Chipotle and Ulta for Netflix, based on recent market trends and personal preferences.
  • 📊 Highlighted the importance of reviewing investment notes and being consistent with one's own investment process rather than trying to emulate others.
  • 📈 Mentioned the recent stock splits of Chipotle and other companies, indicating a belief in the potential positive impact of such actions on stock performance.
  • 📚 Offered to do a deep dive on the energy sector and why billionaires are investing in it, showing an openness to explore and share knowledge on specific market trends.

Q & A

  • What significant action did the speaker take regarding their stock portfolio?

    -The speaker bought and sold stocks in their portfolio, specifically adding more shares to NRG, selling Caterpillar and Ulta, and replacing them with KKR, Deck, and Netflix.

  • Why did the speaker decide to buy more shares of NRG?

    -The speaker decided to buy more shares of NRG because the stock has performed well, being up 52% in the last 6 months and 110% over the last year, and they want to do more covered calls with the company.

  • What was the speaker's reason for selling Caterpillar stock?

    -The speaker sold Caterpillar stock and replaced it with KKR because they have been interested in KKR for a while and believe it could perform better, despite Caterpillar's recent gains.

  • What mistake did the speaker acknowledge making with Ulta stock?

    -The speaker acknowledged being too patient with Ulta stock, holding onto it longer than they should have, expecting a recovery that never came, which resulted in a loss.

  • Why did the speaker choose to replace Ulta with Deck?

    -The speaker chose to replace Ulta with Deck because Deck has shown strong performance, being up 45% in the last 6 months and 84% over the last year, and they wanted to diversify their portfolio.

  • What was the speaker's strategy for managing the number of stocks in their portfolio?

    -The speaker's strategy is to keep the number of stocks between 10 to 12 to maintain manageability and ensure they can research and stay informed about each company.

  • Why did the speaker decide to sell Palo Alto Networks stock?

    -The speaker decided to sell Palo Alto Networks stock because they believe it is slowing down and they want to take their profits and invest in other companies that are performing well.

  • What was the speaker's reasoning for the stock split prediction of Chipotle?

    -The speaker had predicted the stock split of Chipotle based on their analysis and had mentioned it in a previous video, which turned out to be correct.

  • How did the speaker's daughter's portfolio changes reflect the speaker's investment philosophy?

    -The changes in the daughter's portfolio, such as selling Lululemon and Ulta and buying Chipotle and Netflix, reflect the speaker's philosophy of diversification and investing in companies that have shown recent strong performance.

  • What is the importance of reviewing investment notes according to the speaker?

    -Reviewing investment notes is important for the speaker as it helps them to reflect on their investment process, identify areas of strength and weakness, and make more informed decisions in the future.

  • What did the speaker learn about their investment style from the experience with Ulta?

    -The speaker learned that they are not particularly good at value investing, despite following the principles from books and doing their homework, and that they should stick to their own investment process.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Stock Portfolio Adjustments and Sector Insights

The speaker discusses their recent stock transactions, highlighting the purchase of more NRG shares due to its significant increase in value and the interest of billionaires in energy stocks. They express willingness to delve deeper into this sector if prompted by viewers. The speaker also details the sale of Caterpillar shares, which have performed well, and their replacement with KKR, an asset manager, reflecting a strategic move to diversify beyond tech stocks. The summary includes the rationale behind these moves, emphasizing the importance of diversification and the speaker's personal investment strategy.

05:02

📉 Reflecting on Investment Decisions and Portfolio Rebalancing

In this paragraph, the speaker reflects on their investment choices, particularly the sale of Ulta and Marriott stocks, which did not meet expectations, and the purchase of TransDigm Group and the sale of Palo Alto Networks. The speaker admits to being better at following their own investment process rather than strictly adhering to value investing principles. They also mention the desire to keep their portfolio manageable by maintaining between 10 to 12 stocks, which involves selling off some stocks that are slowing down or not fitting the portfolio strategy. Additionally, the speaker discusses making changes in their daughter's portfolio, including the switch from Lululemon to Chipotle and from Ulta to Netflix, based on recent performance and future potential.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Portfolio

A portfolio in the context of the video refers to a collection of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, and other securities held by an individual or entity. The video's theme revolves around the speaker's personal portfolio management, discussing the buying and selling of stocks within this portfolio to optimize performance and diversification.

💡NRG

NRG is the ticker symbol for a specific energy stock that the speaker discusses in the video. The term is used to highlight a successful investment, as the stock has seen significant growth over the past 6 months and year. The speaker's decision to buy more shares of NRG is tied to their strategy of increasing covered calls with this company.

💡Caterpillar

Caterpillar, often abbreviated as 'CAT', is a stock that the speaker decides to sell in their portfolio. Despite its performance increase over the past year, the speaker chooses to replace it with KKR, an asset manager, to diversify their investments and follow a different investment strategy.

💡KKR

KKR is an asset management firm that the speaker decides to invest in as a replacement for Caterpillar. The decision is based on the speaker's long-term interest in the company and their desire to diversify their portfolio beyond tech stocks.

💡Value Investing

Value investing is an investment strategy that the speaker mentions they are not particularly adept at, despite having studied and applied its principles. In the context of the video, the speaker reflects on their experience with Ulta, a stock that did not perform as expected, illustrating the challenges of value investing.

💡ULTA

ULTA is a stock that the speaker decides to sell due to its poor performance over the past year, reflecting on the difficulties of value investing and the importance of selling at the right time to avoid losses.

💡Deckers Outdoors

Deckers Outdoors, represented by the ticker symbol 'DECK', is a company that the speaker chooses to invest in, replacing Ulta in their portfolio. The decision is based on DECK's strong performance over the past 6 months and year, indicating a promising investment opportunity.

💡TransDigm Group

TransDigm Group, with the ticker symbol 'TDG', is a stock that the speaker decides to replace in their portfolio. Despite its positive performance, the speaker opts to sell it and invest in another company, aiming to make more significant gains and maintain a manageable number of stocks in their portfolio.

💡Palantir Technologies

Palantir Technologies, referred to by its ticker symbol 'PLTR', is a stock that the speaker decides to sell entirely. The speaker believes the company is slowing down and decides to take profits and reallocate the funds to other investments, demonstrating a strategy of profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

💡Diversification

Diversification is a key concept in the video, as the speaker discusses the importance of having a varied portfolio to spread risk and maximize potential gains. The speaker's actions, such as replacing Caterpillar with KKR and DECK with TransDigm, reflect an effort to maintain a diverse range of investments.

💡Stock Split

A stock split is a corporate action in which a company increases the number of its outstanding shares by issuing more shares to current shareholders. The speaker mentions Chipotle and Walmart as companies that have recently undergone stock splits, suggesting that such events can be positive for investors and the company's stock price.

Highlights

The speaker begins buying and selling stocks in their portfolio twice a year, with today being one of those days.

NRG Energy stock has performed well, with a 52% increase in the last 6 months and 110% over the last year, prompting the speaker to buy more shares.

Billionaires are also investing heavily in energy stocks, suggesting a potential deep dive into this sector.

Caterpillar stock was sold, despite a 133% increase in the last 6 months and 36% over the last year, to be replaced by KKR, an asset manager.

KKR has been on the speaker's watch list for years, with a 28% increase in the last 6 months and 90% over the last year.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of diversification in their portfolio, balancing tech stocks with investments in other sectors.

Deckers Outdoors Corp (DECK) was bought, replacing Ulta Beauty, which did not perform well for the speaker.

DECK has seen a 45% increase in the last 6 months and 84% over the last year.

The speaker regrets not selling Ulta Beauty sooner, acknowledging greed and a lack of adherence to their own investment process.

TransDigm Group (TDG) was bought, replacing Marriott International, which has seen a modest 7% increase in the last 6 months and 31% over the last year.

TDG has performed well with a 28% increase in the last 6 months and 50% over the last year.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is being sold due to slowing growth, despite a 14% increase in the last 6 months and 32% over the last year.

The speaker aims to keep their portfolio manageable, preferring to have 10-12 stocks rather than 18-19.

Lululemon was sold from the speaker's daughter's portfolio, replaced with Chipotle, which has seen a 37% increase in the last 6 months and 46% over the last year.

Netflix was also added to the daughter's portfolio, with a 36-38% increase in the last 6 months and 53% over the last year.

The speaker reflects on their investment process, acknowledging that they are not great at value investing despite following the teachings of experts.

The speaker predicts potential stock splits for certain companies, having previously correctly predicted splits for Chipotle and others.

Transcripts

play00:00

there are only two times per year where

play00:02

I start to buy and sell stocks in my

play00:04

portfolio today was that day so what did

play00:08

I buy what did I sell and why did I do

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it let's go ahead and break it down so

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here's everything that I bought and sold

play00:16

and I'm going to give you a little bit

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of a description as to why let's first

play00:20

start off with

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NRG I've talked about the stock before

play00:25

the stock has done quite well and all I

play00:27

did was buy more of NRG is up 52% in the

play00:31

last 6 months and up 110% over last year

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at the time that we are doing this video

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billionaires have also been buying a lot

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of energy stocks if you want me to do a

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deep dive on what is going on in that

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sector and why they are snapping up

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shares of companies like NRG just let me

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know in the comments cuz I am interested

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in that topic as well but I just added

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more shares there I want to do more

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covered calls with this particular

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company so I need to buy more shares

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myself so that's all I did there

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caterpillar though I let go of okay let

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go of caterpillar but not for the

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reasons that you think caterpillar is

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fine it's actually up 133% in the last 6

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months up 36% over the last year I only

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made about 11% only 11% is fine it's

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definitely good in a normal year I

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replaced caterpillar with KKR KKR is an

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asset manager think of it sort of like a

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golden Sachs depending on who you ask um

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so caterpillar gone KKR is in KKR is a

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company I've had on my watch list I feel

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like for like two or three years now

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just finally pulled the trigger there

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they're up 28% in the last 6 months and

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up 90% over the last year really should

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have done this a long time ago but you

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know had to finally make that move I

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just feel like I could have done a bit

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better there though caterpillar does pay

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a solid dividend I do want to keep in

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mind this all in the public portfolios

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are everybody can see all these moves

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and see what I own but I always want to

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try and be a little Diversified because

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I already own a bunch of tech stocks

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already okay so I can always just get

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more Tech right but I want to try and

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stay Diversified so wanted to do

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something you know in energy wanted to

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do something in finance and you know

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kind of be off the beaten path while

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also still owning apple and alphabet and

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all those companies next year is deck uh

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deck is the ticker symbol but deck are

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Outdoors we talked about this company

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told yall about it last week okay I

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broadcast this one but it is up 45% in

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the last 6 months and up 84% over the

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last year I replaced it uh or I picked

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this one up and kicked out Ulta Ulta did

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not do well for me it did not work Ulta

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did not work and I'm I'm a little mad at

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it so Ulta was down 21% over the last 6

play03:01

months and down 18% over the last year

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two things wrong with Ulta for me okay

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really three things when I think about

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it uh number one Rong with Ulta it was

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up for a little bit I should have sold

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it when I was up I got a little greedy

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um I need to check the data to see

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exactly how long I had it I feel like

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I've had it for a year and a half now um

play03:24

but I bought Ulta Ulta had earnings

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shortly after it Tanked

play03:30

started to come up I should have sold it

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like right at that six-month Mark I

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didn't I told myself hey it's a value

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company the numbers were good and they

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were just continue holding it thinking

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it was going to you know be positive and

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I was going to take whatever gain that I

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was going to get that gain never came so

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should have sold it the minute I could

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have I did not I was a little too

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patient the stock never really recovered

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that's number one number two I just

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think again this goes back to process

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just yesterday

play04:00

just yesterday we talked about the three

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most important things when it comes to

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investing last week we talked about the

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importance like the the two or three

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tiny habits it comes uh tiny habits you

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need to know when it comes to investing

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I talked about going back and reviewing

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your notes when it comes to investing

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and trading the notes here tell me okay

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after just reviewing my notes and

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reviewing and reviewing I am not great

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at Value

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investing okay I read the book

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y'all saw me read the book okay took

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notes read the book went back read the

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chapters I've done all the homework I'm

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just not great at it and the interesting

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thing is when I go back and I'm staring

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at my notes here right and I look at and

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I still have the spreadsheet on what I

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did when I looked at Ulta and what the

play04:51

homework was for Ulta and all the stuff

play04:54

I notated and all that kind of stuff and

play04:57

we were right you know quot un quot um

play05:01

but it just didn't work and not every

play05:03

time I do it but most of the times I I

play05:06

follow the value investing things in

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that book and what I follow just doesn't

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work for me and when I follow my own

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process my Miss is Caterpillar so I miss

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with caterpillar made 11% that was my

play05:20

Miss and I miss with this and lose 20

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something per. so that's not to say that

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I'm better than Warren Buffett or

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anything like that it's not it's just to

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say I should follow my I should be me

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and try not to be somebody else is what

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that really means uh because I miss with

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with uh Intel okay so that's not to say

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that I don't miss because I do but going

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back to that consistency piece if I miss

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I want to miss the way I want to which

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is going to be that 11% more often than

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not um so B didn't work for me that's

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not the only time I've tried value

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investing with this exact same process

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and this tends to to be the result with

play06:01

Ulta and Ulta like companies so didn't

play06:04

work for me next here is trans dium

play06:07

tdg um I picked up this one and is up

play06:10

28% in the last 6 months up 50% over the

play06:12

last year I am replacing it which means

play06:15

I am

play06:16

selling uh Marriott Marriott is up 7%

play06:20

over the last 6 months and up 31% over

play06:22

last year Marriott is Fond nothing wrong

play06:24

with Marriott we did talk about Marriott

play06:26

said Hilton was better from a stock

play06:28

perspective um but I just think I want

play06:31

to make a little more okay don't want to

play06:33

be greedy I want to make a little more

play06:35

so selling one picking up the other so

play06:37

we're just doing a flip-flop here in

play06:39

this particular case um next here I'm

play06:42

selling po Alto networks selling pal

play06:45

outto networks um just selling getting

play06:47

rid of it all together is up 14% the

play06:49

last 6 months up 32% over the last year

play06:52

I think pal Alo networks is fine I do

play06:54

think it slowing down a bit not saying

play06:57

it's falling off but I am taking my

play06:59

profits and I'm going going somewhere

play07:02

else there's two reasons why I'm doing

play07:03

this number one because it is slowing

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down again I'm not saying this fall off

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the map I'm not saying it's crashing

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okay I'm not saying that but um similar

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to like a what was that Hershey that we

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talked about not too long ago like it

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was great then took our gains gone

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somewhere else I'm I'm kind of doing

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that now where you know only at 14% I

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say that in air quotes because it is

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still pretty good but I'm going and

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taking my gains and going somewhere else

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other reason why too is

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because as I'm buying and selling and

play07:35

doing all the stuff in my public

play07:36

portfolio I don't want to have 18 or 19

play07:40

stocks okay I want to keep it between

play07:43

like 10 to 12 cuz it's you know I have

play07:46

to research all these companies know

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what's going on with all these companies

play07:49

and having

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15 20 that's that's too many right I

play07:54

want to keep it relatively small keep it

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manageable and know exactly what is

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going on so I want to trim things down I

play08:01

have too many right so selling that all

play08:04

together taking that money and just

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redistributing it selling it and then

play08:08

just investing in everything else and

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just pushing those dollars upward is

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going to be helpful also having more

play08:14

money in those other companies that are

play08:15

doing well is going to help the entire

play08:17

portfolio across the board so that is a

play08:19

thought process there um two other

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smaller moves this is in my daughter's

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portfolio everybody else in the family

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kept all the stocks everybody else was

play08:27

fine um she had Lululemon we had talked

play08:31

about Lululemon in the previous video

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this week down 41% in the last six

play08:35

months down 20% of last year she you

play08:39

know was born in the pandemic stock was

play08:41

doing well we got rid of it gave her

play08:43

Chipotle instead yall know how I feel

play08:45

about Chipotle I own Chipotle uh

play08:47

Chipotle is up 37% in the last 6 months

play08:49

up 46% of last year we talked about them

play08:52

doing their stock split and how good

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that could be for the company and how

play08:56

well the company was doing uh and then

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Netflix uh she had Ulta as well so we're

play09:02

taking out Ulta for her or did take out

play09:04

Ulta for her and picked up Netflix again

play09:07

Netflix up 36 38% in the last 6 months

play09:10

up 40 I'm sorry up 53% over the last

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year now when it comes to Chipotle again

play09:16

they were one of the few companies I was

play09:18

going to say one of the few one of the

play09:19

many companies that did a stock split

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here pretty recently including Walmart

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now I was one of the few people maybe

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one of the only people call what you

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want but one of the few people um that

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did predict that they were going to do a

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stock split and in that original video

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that wasn't the only company that I said

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hey they might do a stock split actually

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did it land research Corp with another

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company that I said in that video that

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happened to do a stock split as well so

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I did a follow-up video about some

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additional companies that could announce

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a stock split here pretty soon if you

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want to know what companies might be

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next in terms of stock splits you want

play09:56

to check out this video right here

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